Friday, June 16, 2017

Measurement of National Income output/product method, income method, expenditure method final product method, value added method

Production of goods and services gives rise to income, income gives rise to demand for goods and services, demand gives rise to expenditure, expenditure gives rise to further production and production gives rise income again. This circular flow can be shown in figure below;





According to above given circular flow, there are three methods of measuring national income. They are:
1. Product (output) method
2. Income method
3. Expenditure method
Three alternative methods of measuring National income are possible. There is triple identifications i.e., Expenditure = Income = Production in context of national income accounting.
Output /Product method
This method approaches National income from the output side. The economy is divided into various sectors such as agriculture, mining, manufacturing, small enterprises, commerce, transport, communication and other services. If we add up net value added that has taken place in various productions and industries during a year. In order to arrive at the net value added of a given industry, the purchase of the producers of this industry from the gross value of production of that industry. This is called National income by industrial origin. The method can be used where; there exists a census of production for the year. In many countries figure of production of only important industries are available. Hence this method is used along with other methods to arrive at the National income. The method has the advantage of revealing the relative importance of the different sectors of the economy showing their respective contribution to National income.
Rough tabulation representation of GNP, GDP and NNP by production method
Figures in Crore

Agricultural production
+100


Industrial production
+250


Services and other production etc.
+150

GDP


500

Net Production from abroad (X-M)
(-50) Or +XXX

GNP


450

Depreciation Funds
(-40)

NNP


410
Under this method, there are two approaches for measuring national income. They are:
a.)      Final product method and
b)       Value-added method
(a)     Final product method
In this method, national income is estimated by finding the market value of final goods and services produced in the economy in a particular time period. Various steps of final product method for measuring national income are:
Step I:
GDP at MP is calculated by multiplying total quantity of goods and services (Q) and their respective prices per unit (P) produced in the country in a year
i.e., GDP at MP = P x Q
                             
Step II:
GNP at MP is calculated by adding GDP at MP and net factor income from abroad.
i. e., GNP at MP = GDP at MP +(X-M)
Where, X= Export Earnings, M= Import Expenditures
Step III:
NNP at MP is calculated by deducting depreciation from GNP at MP.
 i. e., NNP at MP=GNP- Depreciation.
Step VI:
NNP at FC or NI is obtained by deducting net indirect taxes.
i.e.; NNP at FC or NI=NNP at MP - Net indirect taxes.
While calculating national income using final product method, problem of double counting may be appeared. In order to avoid the double counting problems, we use value-added method.
(b)     Value added method: 
The net product or value added method measures national income as the sum total of net final output produced or net value added by all the producing units in an economy during a year. In order to calculate the value at a particular state of production, the cost of intermediate products is subtracted from the total value of output i.e.; value-added = Total value of output total cost of intermediate goods. Hence in this method, national income is derived by adding the amount added in each stage of production of goods and services. The value–added method is illustrated in the table below.
Value added method
Stages of Production
Value of Output
Cost of intermediate goods
Gross value added
1.  Farmer-grows wheat and sales to the miller
1,000
500
500
2.  Miller- converts wheat to flour and sales to baker
1,500
1,000
500
3.  Baker – Bakes bread and sales to the super market.
2,000
1,500
500
4. Supermarket- Sales bread to consumer
2,500
2,000
500

Total value added output = 7,000
Total cost of intermediate goods = 5,000
Therefore, value-added = 7,000-5,000=2,000 is final value.
           
            The sum of the value-added of all production sectors is gross domestic product (GDP) or total value-added is equal to GDP. The addition of net income from abroad to total value-added gives GNP.
Income method
In this method we estimate the income accruing to factors of production at home and abroad in form of wage income and non-wage income, Wage income includes wages and salaries including bonus and commission and supplements to labor incomes. Non-wage income refers to the income paid to the factors in the form of rent interest and profits. We also add in it the earning of self employed persons. The sum of these incomes will give us the National income. It includes following incomes.
1.       Wages and salaries (Including bonus and commission)
2.       Interest
3.       Supplements of labor income
4.       Earning of self employed persons
5.       Rent
6.       Profits: Corporate profits dividends, undistributed profits, and surplus of public enterpriser
We can give it in the form of an equation
NI = Wages and salaries + Supplements to labor income + rant + Income + Direct business taxes + net income earned abroad.
 The advantage of this method is that it not only gives National income but also the distribution of National income among different factors of production.
Rough tabulation representation of GNI, GDI and NNI by Income method
Figures in Crore

Wages/salaries/allowances
+100


Rents
+100


Interest
+150


Profits
+100


Indirect taxes and depreciation, etc
+50

GDI


500

Net income from abroad (X-M)
(-50) Or +XXX

GNI


450

Depreciation Funds
(-40)

NNI


410
Expenditure method
This method arrives at national income by adding up all the expenditure made on goods and services during a year. Expend item the following type of expedition will be know as gross national expenditure (GNE) which is equal to gross national product (GNP) But we can arrive at National income by deducting from GNP deprecation and net indirect taxes. In these methods the following types of expenditure are estimated and added.
1.       Private Consumption expenses.
It consists of all private expenditure on goods (durable consumption goods and non-durable consumption goods) and services incurved by individual and non-profit institutional consumes.
2.       Current government consumption expenditure
It consists of expenditure on goods and service. This expenditure does not include transfer payments.
3.       Gross domestic private investment expenditure
It refers to expenditure on replacement of equipment net addition to fixed capital inventories and the construction of building factories' etc.
4.       Exports minus Imports (X-M)
This expenditure refers to expedite on national products by foreigners (exports) minus expenditure on foreign product by national (Imports)
5.       Gross Public Investment expenditure
It includes expenditure by the government on Investment, Transportations, Infrastructure, communications, instrument building etc.
We can give it in the form of an equation.
National income = private consumption expenditure (C)
               + Gross domestic private investment expenditure (I1)
               + Government consumption expenditure (G)
               + Gross public investment expenditure (I2)
               + Exports - Imports (x - M)
               - Depreciation
               - Net indirect taxes
Rough tabulation representation of GNE, GDE and NNE by production method
Figures in Crore

Private consumption expenditure (C)
+200


Investment expenditure (I)
+150


Government expenditure (G)
+150

GDE


500

Net expenditure on abroad (X-M)
(-50) Or +XXX

GNE


450

Depreciation Funds
(-40)

NNE


410

Difficulties in measuring National Income

Underdeveloped countries like Nepal face numerous difficulties in arriving at a correct estimate of NI. Some of the major difficulties are the following 
1.       The first difficulty is with regard to the method of measuring the national income; In fact there is single method for it. The difficulty of 'double counting' in product method is quite           common.
2.       The second difficulty arises with regard to the presence of non-monetary transaction i.e., transactions, which are not exchange in money. Such transactions are services rendered by house wives to the members of their families and goods which are self consumed or bartered out. As well as Illegal transaction are not included in NI.
3.       The third difficulty relates to the measurements of income earned by foreign firms or individual in an economy. Should the income earned by them be counted as a part of the National income of the parent country or should it be added to the National income of the country in which they are located?
The fourth difficulty is with regard to the availability of statistical data for the estimation of National income. The available data National income are both incomplete and unrealities. 
Special difficulties in under - developed economics
4.       In under-developed economics the presence of a large non-monitored sector serves as the biggest difficulty for National income calculation of the presence of the monitored sector in an economy. In which most of the goods or services are exchanged for money. But unfortunately in under-developed economies the greater part of goods produced is either kept by the producers for self-consumption or barter. As a result of it a good part of goods and services are not exchanged with money and hence their value is not added in the National income.
5.       In under developed economies there is very little of no occupational specialization. An individual may do many jobs. He may be office servants, a lecturer, a partner in a business and so on. This he may get income partly from the office, partly      from the college, partly from the business concern etc. This lack of occupational specialization presents a serious difficulty in the National income estimates.
6.       In under-developed economies generally the people are illiterate and most of the producers do not keep any record of the quantity and value of their output. Neither have they kept any account of their sales. This makes the task of measuring the National income all the more difficult.
7.         The greatest difficulty in measuring the National income in under development economics is with regard to the non-availability of adequate statistics, whatever statistics are available, and they are incomplete and non-reliable. Most of the statistics are old and collected on the basis of guesswork. 

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