The
introduction of multiplier analysis in income theory is regarded as one of
path-breaking contributions of Keynes to the economic theory. It is not merely
theoretical concept, but also important instrument of economic policy. The
importance of multiplier can be explained as follows:
(1) Importance in Investment:
The concept of
multiplier established the immense importance of investment as the major
dynamic in pretence of investment as the major dynamic element in the economy.
J.M. Keynes considers the theory of multiplier as an integral part of the
theory of employment. The multiplier, he says, 'establishes a precise
relationship, given the propensity to consume (MPC), between the aggregate
employment and income and the rate of investment'. Thus, it underlines the
importance of investment and explains the process of income propagation.
(2) Analysis of Trade Cycle:
Cyclical
fluctuations or business cycles characterized by alternating waves of expansion
and contraction are the inherent features of market economies. The multiplier
process by showing different phases of trade cycles helps the business to plan
their transactions accordingly.
(3) Equality between Savings and Investment:
It helps in
bringing the equality between saving and investment. If there is a divergence
between saving and investment, an increase in investment leads to a rise in
income with the multiplier process by more than the increase in investment. As
income increases, savings also increases and equals investment.
(4) Formulation
of Economic Policy:
The multiplier
analysis is an important tool in the hands of modern governments in formulating
economic policies and projecting their consequences. It can be used to estimate
the quantitative government policy changes needed to smooth out some of the
business cycles.
(5) Importance of Public Investment:
The modern
governments decide upon the amount of investment to be injected in to the
economy so as to utilize the idle resources and remove unemployment. With the
help of multiplier analysis policy makers project the required levels of
investment to be made till the full employment level is reached.
(6) Deficit Financing:
The multiplier
principle highlights the importance of deficit financing. When the economy is
reeling under a state of recession increased government spending through public
investment programs, creates a budget deficit and helps in expanding income and
employment by multiplier times the increase in investment.
The above discussion reveals the
importance of the multiplier in public investment policy and its assessment at
various levels. Public investment refers to government spending on public works
and other works meant to increase the public welfare. It is autonomous and free
from profit motive. Thus, it applies with greater emphasis in overcoming
inflationary and deflationary portents in the economy and in achieving and
maintaining full employment.
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